Preakness: My Prediction

Preakness: My Prediction

For the last two weeks the doubters have been apoplectic about Justify’s foot. He’s lame. He’s bruised. He’s hurting.  Trainer Bob Baffert has put all these rumors to rest, and Justify looks like a monster under a tight leash in his warmups. Add to that a sloppy track, which Justify seems to relish, a relatively weak field with Good Magic being the only true competitors, and you have a rout on your hands. I’ll take Justify by five lengths over…

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Preakness Positions Drawn; Justify on Outside

Preakness Positions Drawn; Justify on Outside

Post positions were drawn for the 143rd Preakness Wednesday, and the field is as follows: Quip (12-1) Lone Sailor (50-1) Sporting Chance (30-1) Diamond King (30-1) Good Magic (3-1) Tenfold (20-1) Justify (1-2) Bravazo (20-1) Even though Justify has an outside position, look for him to take the lead early and keep it. He likes the mud, and even a strong finish by Good Magic shouldn’t hurt him. I pick Justify in a romp, Good Magic second, and Bravazo third.

No, Justify Isn’t Lame

No, Justify Isn’t Lame

A video of Justify the morning after the Derby showed him favoring his left hind foot, which started the Interwebs chattering that Justify was lame. Technically,  “lame” means any condition in which a horse is not walking normally, but there are so many connotations for the term. But it automatically brings up the possibility of a serious injury. Trainer Bob Baffert quickly tried to put things to rest with a text message to reporters: Justify “has an irritated pastern that…

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Derby 144: It’s all Justify

Derby 144: It’s all Justify

Well, the Derby panned out the way I predicted, and I picked the winner (and so did thousands of others): Justify was in contention for the whole race, pulled away at the far turn, and won by two lengths over Good Magic. I had predicted a fast pace, with Instilled Regard going out front, and that’s what happened: the first quarter mile was in :22 and change, and the half-mile was in a little over :45. I was a little…

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